78 lines
2.2 KiB
Markdown
78 lines
2.2 KiB
Markdown
# Technical Analysis Reference
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Use technical analysis as a decision support layer, not as a standalone certainty signal.
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## 1. Trend Framework
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1. Moving averages:
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- 20/50/200-period moving averages as baseline trend map.
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- Bullish regime: price above key moving averages with supportive slope.
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- Bearish regime: price below key moving averages with negative slope.
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2. Trend strength:
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- Confirm with higher highs/higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs/lower lows (downtrend).
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## 2. Momentum Framework
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1. RSI:
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- Overbought > 70, oversold < 30.
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- Use divergence vs price as an early warning, not a standalone trigger.
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2. MACD:
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- Track line/signal crossovers and histogram trend.
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- Prefer signals aligned with broader trend.
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## 3. Volatility and Structure
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1. ATR context:
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- Use ATR expansion/contraction to assess regime change risk.
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2. Bollinger context:
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- Squeeze can precede expansion.
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- Band walk can persist in strong trends.
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## 4. Support and Resistance
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Map levels from:
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- Recent swing highs/lows
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- Volume clusters
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- Moving-average confluence
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- Psychological round numbers
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Use level breaks with volume confirmation where possible.
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## 5. Volume Confirmation
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1. Breakout quality improves with volume expansion.
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2. Weak volume breakouts carry higher failure risk.
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3. Divergence between price trend and volume trend can signal exhaustion.
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## 6. Multi-Timeframe Alignment
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1. Use higher timeframe (weekly/daily) for primary bias.
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2. Use lower timeframe (daily/intraday where available) for timing.
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3. Do not let lower timeframe noise override higher timeframe structure without strong evidence.
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## 7. Signal Quality Rules
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1. Require at least two independent confirmations before strong directional calls.
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2. Mark low-confidence calls when indicators conflict.
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3. Define invalidation level for every directional view.
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## 8. Market-Specific Notes (US/CN/HK)
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1. Liquidity and session structure differ by market.
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2. Gap behavior and close auction effects may vary.
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3. Technical indicator reliability can degrade during event-driven sessions.
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## 9. Daily Output Guidance
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At minimum provide:
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- Trend state (bullish/neutral/bearish)
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- 2-3 key levels
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- RSI/MACD summary
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- volume confirmation status
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- invalidation condition
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